PGA: US Open

Rory reminded all of us who’s top dog when firing on all cylinders with a scintillating win at last week’s RBC Canadian Open. It’s performances like that which leave us so perplexed when he throws in the occasional clunker at a big event. That’s golf, I guess?

The third major of the season is now upon us as they are all set to tee it up at the 119th U.S. Open Championship at Pebble Beach.  The players are in store for a traditional U.S. Open setup with thick rough and speedy greens. Plenty of wind is also in the forecast as is typically the case at this sea-side gem. Perhaps the coolest part about this week is the length of the course doesn’t eliminate half the field right off the bat.  To me, that’s a true test of golf. The player who hits it most solid, controls his misses accordingly, and scrambles effectively when needed will win this week. Not just the longest and strongest. There’s no overpowering Pebble Beach.  Well… maybe other than that time that Tiger shot 12 under par 272 at the 2000 U.S. Open while his closest competitors managed 3 over 287. That was peak Tiger with full control of his game and an unconscious putter. Wouldn’t it be fun to see him in the mix again?

I’m looking mainly at guys in elite ball-striking form. Some secondary filters for me will be short game, proximity, and fairways gained. These greens are severe and sloping, and also fairly unpredictable being sea-side Poa. Therefore, I think the guys who are going to putt well this week aren’t necessarily going to be great putters in general, rather guys who are in total control of their golf ball and consistently leave themselves below the hole. Can’t be topside on these greens and expect to make much.

West coast majors are my absolute favorite because of the added element of prime-time TV drama. Tiger at Torrey, Jordan at Chambers Bay… those were especially memorable weeks. This is sure to be another one. Happy Fathers Day to all the dads!            
    
Hit ‘em straight - Pat

Event: 2019 US Open

2018 Champion: Brooks Koepka

Field: 156 Players, Top 60 and ties make the cut
When: 9:45am EST, Thursday 6/13

Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links
Par: 71
Yardage: 7075

Architect(s): Jack Neville & Douglas Grant
Rank: (2010 US Open) +3.983
Greens: Poa

Targeted Key Stats and Weight: (See graph below)

Screen Shot 2019-06-12 at 11.37.32 AM.png

Custom Stat Model: (Statistics courtesy of Fantasy National Golf Club)
CLICK THE IMAGE BELOW FOR COMPLETE SPREADSHEET

REMEMBER: These models are designed solely to give the user a feel for which players fit on paper. It’s always important to incorporate game theory, news sources, and all additional avenues of information when crafting DFS lineups.

REMEMBER: These models are designed solely to give the user a feel for which players fit on paper. It’s always important to incorporate game theory, news sources, and all additional avenues of information when crafting DFS lineups.

TAKES:

DFS (DraftKings: Player, Price, Projected Ownership)

Super Elite (10.1K+)
·       R McIlroy (10500) 14%
·       T Woods (10500) 16%

Upper Tier (9.1k - 10.K)
·       P Cantlay (10000) 17%

Middle Tier (7.5k - 9k)
. S Lowry (7500) 9%

Lower Tier (<7.5k)
. E Grillo (7400) 6%
. M Kaymer (7400) 3%
. B Horschel (7200) 6%
. T Hatton (7200) 9%
. J Walker (7000) 7%
. C Morikawa (6700) 2%
. V Hovland (6700) 2%
 


Outright Win Bets (Draftkings Sportsbook: Player, Win Odds)

·       S Lowry 70/1
·       M Kaymer 90/1
. E Grillo 125/1
. B Horschel 125/1
. T Hatton 150/1

PGAPat DiMartinoPat