PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational

PGA Cheat Sheet

The PGA Tour got it’s first dramatic finish in what seems like forever at last week’s Honda Classic at PGA National. Keith Mitchell, an analytics darling for quite some time, finally was able to get his putter to cooperate and got into the house one better than the more heralded duo of Brooks Koepka and Rickie Fowler. He overcame both his relative youth and inexperience in addition to a rocky bogey-bogey final round start en route to his first PGA Tour victory. Mitchell was able to steady his nerves down the stretch in a manner that leads me to believe we’ll see plenty more of him as the year progresses.
As the Florida Swing rolls on, this week the tour moves two hours north and inland from Palm Beach Gardens to Orlando for the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. The field is a strong one as many of the best players from around the world will use this both as an opportunity to pay homage to Arnie, and as a final tune-up for next week’s Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass.
Last year, Rory bombed, gauged, and putted his way to victory. What will be this year’s formula for success? Check out the breakdown below for some insight on the stat’s I’ll be targeting as well as some DFS DraftKings plays and outright win bets.

Hit ‘em straight - Pat

Event: 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational

2018 Champion: Rory Mcilroy

Field: 123 Players, Top 70 & Ties Make the Cut
When: 7:35am EST Thurs 3/7

Course: Bay Hill Club & Lodge
Par: 72
Yardage: 7,419

Architect(s): Dick Wilson
Rank: 15/51 in 2018 Difficulty (+0.023)
Greens: Bermuda

Targeted Key Stats: (Over last 36 rounds played)

Screen Shot 2019-03-06 at 3.09.51 PM.png

Custom Stat Model: (Statistics courtesy of Fantasy National Golf Club)

TAKES:

DFS (DraftKings)

Core: (Players to use and build around in the majority of lineups)

  • R Fowler (10400)

  • B Dechambeau (9700)

  • L Glover (8200)

  • I Poulter (8000)

 Sleepers: (Players with low ownership projections who offer significant upside)

  • M Wallace (7400)

  • C Conners (6300)

 Outright Win Bets

  • B Dechambeau 16/1

  • M Wallace 90/1

PGAPat DiMartinoPat